ChatGPT是否是新创业风口?风险更大

AIGC与创业1yrs ago (2023)update lida
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ChatGPT真的是新创业风口吗?

或许,它的风险更大。

ChatGPT是否是新创业风口?风险更大

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近日,OpenAI发布声明,向其用户和整个ChatGPT社区道歉,并称将努力重建信任。

该声明表示,本周早些时候,公司决定下线开源库中的ChatGPT,原因是该库存在一个漏洞,可能导致一些用户可以看到其他用户的聊天记录等信息。

目前,该漏洞已被修复。

OpenAI表示,“在ChatGPT下线前的几个小时,一些用户有可能看到另一在线用户的姓名、电子邮件地址、付款地址、信用卡号后四位,以及信用卡有效期。完整的信用卡号码在任何时候都没有暴露”。

比起信息泄露的风险,来自创业者的风险更大。

ChatGPT是否是新创业风口?风险更大

ChatGPT作为当下最热的AI技术,受到业界及公众追捧。

随着微软将GPT-4接入Office、PPT、Word、Excel等应用,以及国内文心一言等同类产品的推出,代表着AIGC(Artificial Intelligence and General Computer)的广应用阶段来临,应用范围将不断扩大。AIGC在内容生成、智能客服、金融服务、教育培训、数据分析和处理、医疗、基础法律服务等领域都将发挥重要作用。

创业者更加是厉兵秣马,准备一战。

早在今年2月中旬,王慧文就表示设立公司,招兵买马,踏进人工智能赛道。

阿里巴巴技术副总裁贾扬清于3月21日宣布离开阿里,并计划瞄准AI架构方向进行创业,要打造一个人工智能平台。

即刻创始人叶锡东(网名瓦恁)近期举办了一场名为’AI HACK’的创业竞赛,旨在招募在AI方向有创业想法和热情的人。获胜团队将获得30万美元早期投资以及其他资源,成为即刻的AI团队。这是一个难得的机会,能够与优秀的创业者一起合作,共同探索AI领域的发展。

ChatGPT是否是新创业风口?风险更大

这个领域真的适合创业吗?

对此,吴晓波频道巴九灵和书乐进行了一番交流,贫道以为:

目前的AI市场呈现出平台之战的态势,创业者需要具备一定的算法根基和技术资源,以及资金支持,才能进行创新。

这场创业潮的幸存者大多是自带资源(主要是技术资源)的从业者中的极少数幸运儿。

尽管这一次创业潮依然是在追赶风口,但风口已经积蓄了多年力量,不是零基础创业者可以追赶的。

ChatGPT是否是新创业风口?风险更大

GPT创业场景主要集中在聊天机器人这种通用泛大众化的产品上,可以呈现为文字、语音、绘画、图形设计、语音合成、视频生成等泛内容领域。通过开发聊天机器人,企业可以为用户提供更加智能化、个性化的服务,同时也可以通过聊天机器人与用户建立更加紧密的联系,了解用户需求和反馈,进而不断优化和改进产品。此外,聊天机器人还可以应用于教育、娱乐、游戏等领域,为用户提供更加多样化的服务。

许多创业者选择蹭热点,他们可能会采取各种方式来获取相关知识产权,例如购买商标、域名、仿制App、申请专利或提供用户体验的付费或国外资源。这些行为被称为“中间商”,通过赚差价来获取利润。

AI目前的商业模式仍然有待探索。虽然AI技术已经取得了长足的进步,但在实际应用中仍存在许多挑战。目前,AI技术主要应用于一些体验项目中,例如语音识别、图像识别等。虽然这些技术能够为用户提供一定的便利,但它们的商业化模式并不明确。因此,要想将AI技术应用于商业领域,需要深入研究其商业模式,并探索可行的商业化模式。

具体而言,ChatGPT创业潮有两个方向,其一是底层技术创业,其二是应用层面创业。

底层技术创业,人机交互上,比起语言训练而言,语音训练、视觉训练反而更有价值。

前者能陪聊,而后者如语音,可以解放双手,而视觉训练完成极高识别,可以极大加速自动驾驶的进展速度。

ChatGPT是否是新创业风口?风险更大

在应用层领域,由于创业者难以快速积累核心算法和完成深度学习,因此很难有所成功。

将类GPT接入到自身的应用中,通过创新玩法来创造内容,这一点类似于微软Office365接入GPT来达成更多办公应用场景的破圈或辅助一般。通过这种方式,应用可以更好地利用GPT的优势,为用户提供更加丰富、多样化的内容。

GPT的走向尚未明确,在自己的应用中介入GPT服务,来达成自身产品基础上的独特体验,或许更为稳健。

总而言之,不是任何人都适合在GPT上进行创业。

整体来说,这一轮GPT盛宴,其实是一次泛大众的人工智能科普。此前,人工智能在人们的视野中仅限于实验室和高端设备,而现在,人们可以亲身体验到这些技术的应用,从而引发了狂热。但这种狂热随着技术的深入普及而降温。

ChatGPT是否是新创业风口?风险更大

相比于元宇宙,这一轮ChatGPT创业潮会更快降温。

元宇宙是一个尚未定型的领域,任何产品都可以提出展望或仅仅将“沉浸感”作为关键词,即使不需要VR和AR体验,也能蹭上热点。

而这一次AI创业,技术门槛太高、可参与创业角度太少,让创业或蹭热点的,也只能是浅尝即止。

作者 张书乐,人民网、人民邮电报专栏作者,中经传媒智库专家

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